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Prediction market Q2 notional trading volume reaches $113.8 billion, a new all-time high

2026-07-16 13:08
Odaily Planet Daily News: The latest Crypto Industry Report from CoinGecko shows that in the second quarter of 2026, the notional trading volume of prediction markets reached $113.8 billion, setting a new single-quarter record. During the same period, the market sizes of spot CEXs, perpetual futures, and stablecoins all declined.



The spot trading volume of the top ten centralized exchanges in the second quarter was $1.95 trillion, down 27.9% from $2.7 trillion in the first quarter. CEX perpetual futures trading volume decreased by 10% to $12.7 trillion, and the stablecoin market size fell by 1.6% to $305.1 billion.



Binance's spot CEX market share in the second quarter rose to 38.7%. The trading volume of the top ten spot DEXs decreased from $556.4 billion in the first quarter to $408.9 billion, with Uniswap leading at a 41.2% market share.



In June, the notional trading volume of prediction markets reached $50.7 billion, an increase of 91.9% compared to the average of the previous five months. Kalshi held the largest market share in the second quarter at 58.9%, while Polymarket's share fell from 35.8% to 30.2%.