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经济学家:现在要看出美伊冲突对劳动力市场的影响还为时过早

2026-05-08 05:55

Odaily Planet Daily News According to a Reuters survey, following an increase of 178,000 in March, non-farm payrolls may have only increased by 62,000 in April, with institutional forecasts ranging from a decrease of 15,000 to an increase of 150,000. The U.S. labor market has been stuck in a state that economists and the Federal Reserve call "slow hiring, slow firing." This stalemate has been blamed on Trump's trade and immigration policies, as well as the recent Iran war. Economists say it's too early to see the impact of the US-Iran conflict on the labor market. RSM Chief Economist Joe Brusuelas stated that the labor market situation remains unchanged. Labor demand is usually determined several months before actual hiring, so the impact of the war on labor demand hasn't manifested yet. The Federal Reserve will focus on wage data and, most importantly, the unemployment rate, which will confirm the new consensus that interest rates won't be cut this year due to a weak labor market. (Jin Shi)