Next Week's Must-Watch: Global Focus on Iran Situation; February Non-Farm Payrolls Data Incoming (Mar 2-8)
- Core View: Next week (March 2-8), global markets will simultaneously face the dual impact of geopolitical tensions and key economic data releases, while the cryptocurrency market has specific events such as new token circulation, project airdrops, and exchange business adjustments.
- Key Elements:
- Escalating Geopolitical Risks: Joint US-Israel military strikes on Iran have escalated tensions in the Middle East. Iran has taken retaliatory actions and blocked the Strait of Hormuz, drawing high attention from global markets.
- Release of Key Economic Data: The US February Non-Farm Payrolls data and the Federal Reserve's Beige Book will be released, potentially impacting global macroeconomic expectations and market sentiment.
- Cryptocurrency Market Dynamics: Bitway (BTW) token begins circulation; Avantis will conduct its Season 2 airdrop, distributing 40 million tokens; Binance adjusts the minimum price movement unit for multiple spot trading pairs.
- Regulatory and Industry Events: The US SEC will host a roundtable on private market valuations; Gemini exchange announces the termination of its UK business, supporting only withdrawals after March 5.
- Prediction Markets Focus on Situation: Polymarket data shows a 55% probability for the prediction "Hezbollah attacks Israel before March 7," reflecting market concerns about conflict expansion.
Key Events for the Upcoming Week
Throughout the Week
Escalating Iran Situation Draws Global Market Focus to the Middle East;
March 2
Bitway (BTW) Token to Begin Circulation at 16:00 on March 2;
March 5
Avantis Confirms Second Season Airdrop to Take Place on March 5;
March 6
US February Non-Farm Payroll Data to Be Released on March 6;
From March 2 to March 8, more noteworthy industry event previews are as follows.
March 2
Escalating Iran Situation Draws Global Market Focus to the Middle East
Odaily News: On February 28, 2026, the United States and Israel jointly launched a large-scale military strike against Iran. The operation covered multiple cities including Tehran and Isfahan, and Iran's Supreme Leader Khamenei has been confirmed dead.
Iran immediately launched large-scale retaliatory strikes, firing missiles and drones at Israel and seven Arab countries hosting US military bases, including Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, and the UAE, and announced a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz.
Global attention is now focused on the Middle East. For details, please refer to "Full Event Recap: US-Israel Joint Airstrike on Iran, Retaliatory Actions Impact the Entire Middle East, Prediction Markets Stir Again".
Binance: Bitway (BTW) Token to Begin Circulation at 16:00 on March 2
Odaily News: According to an official Binance announcement, the Bitway BTW token will begin circulation at 16:00 on March 2, 2026.
March 3
None
March 4
US SEC to Hold Private Market Valuation Roundtable on March 4, Focusing on Retail Investor Access
Odaily News: The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has officially announced it will host a roundtable discussion on March 4 at its Washington headquarters to discuss private market valuation and responsible retailization. The meeting will be chaired by Brian Daly and livestreamed on the official website. Topics will include exploring the opportunities and challenges as traditional private assets gradually enter public products, considerations for public investors, and the governance challenges and industry best practices for managers in providing exposure to private market assets in response to retail demand.
March 5
Fed to Release Beige Book on Economic Conditions on March 5
Odaily News: On Thursday, March 5, at 03:00, the Federal Reserve will release the Beige Book on economic conditions.
Avantis Confirms Second Season Airdrop to Take Place on March 5
Odaily News: Avantis, a leading decentralized derivatives exchange on the Base ecosystem, has officially announced that its second season airdrop will take place on March 5. This season will distribute a total of 40 million token rewards to trading users and LPs. The complete airdrop eligibility criteria and claiming mechanism will be announced in the coming days.
Binance to Adjust Minimum Price Movement Units for Multiple Spot Trading Pairs on March 5
Odaily News: According to an official announcement, to enhance market liquidity and trading experience, Binance will complete adjustments to the minimum price movement unit (Tick Size) for multiple spot trading pairs including ASTR/USDT, AUDIO/USDT, CFX/USDC, CFX/USDT, COTI/TRY, CTSI/USDT, DODO/USDT, FIDA/USDT, KAVA/USDT, LRC/USDT, MANTA/FDUSD, MANTA/USDC, MANTA/USDT, NFP/TRY, NFP/USDT, ONG/USDT, ONT/USDC, ONT/USDT, ROSE/TRY, STEEM/ETH, STEEM/USDC, STEEM/USDT, VET/EUR, VET/USDC, VET/USDT, WAN/USDT, YGG/USDC, YGG/USDT at 05:00 (UTC) on March 5, 2026. This adjustment will not affect spot trading or other related functions, but API users should take note to update. Existing orders will be executed according to the original minimum movement unit. Users are advised to adjust their trading bot settings accordingly.
Gemini Terminates UK Operations, Only Withdrawals Supported After March 5
Odaily News: Gemini has announced it will terminate its business operations in the UK. Starting March 5, 2026, all UK customer accounts will be switched to withdrawal-only mode. (CoinDesk)
March 6
US February Non-Farm Payroll Data to Be Released on March 6
Odaily News: On Friday, March 6, at 21:30, the US will release data including the February unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls, and the January retail sales month-over-month rate.
Odaily News: Hyperliquid co-founder iliensinc stated on social media that 173,000 HYPE tokens from Hyperliquid Lans will be unstaked today and distributed to team members on March 6.
March 7
Polymarket Shows 55% Probability of "Hezbollah Striking Israel by March 7"
Odaily News: Polymarket data shows the current probability for the prediction event "Will Hezbollah attack Israel by March 7?" is 55%.
It is reported that Hezbollah in Lebanon has long received funding, weapons, and strategic guidance from Iran and is the most militarily powerful Shiite armed group in the Middle East.
March 8
None
Others (Specific Time Unconfirmed)
Iranian Stock Market Trading Suspended Until Next Week
Odaily News: Trading on the Iranian stock market has been suspended until next week. A spokesperson for the Iranian Securities and Exchange Organization stated that currently only stock market trading is suspended. Details regarding the operation of spot trading or other financial markets in the capital market will be announced later. (CCTV News)
