3.1 Day market rebound or reversal
Bounce or Reverse? I think this is the issue that everyone is most concerned about now. To be honest, the probability of a rebound and a reversal is roughly equal, so it is difficult to judge, but if I use a longer time dimension to judge, I believe that the current The market only rebounded, and it will continue to fall after the rebound, because judging from the market trend chart, the current trend is very embarrassing.
The overall expectation this year is that the economy will improve, and the release of water may gradually decrease, so assets will digest this expectation in advance, and the current decline is nothing but normal.
Regarding the ultra-short-term, I think it has been in a state of rebound since the diving at zero o’clock last night. The take-profit level above is roughly 48,000. If you are greedy, you can move it to around 49,000, but whether you can reach it depends on the market. In short At present, this kind of operation must have a light position regardless of the short-term and mid-term.
Now that the market is over, I believe those who read the articles of Xinhuo most recently should have noticed this point. In this market situation, Xinhuo has always given a general direction, and has not refined each transaction, but has been tireless. Let me tell you about the trading method, why is this, because in the current market, the loss of a wrong order can be tolerated, but the error in the trading method is unbearable for most people. So I repeatedly mentioned that I hope to attract everyone's attention. We need to know that the trading method directly corresponds to the mentality. Many people start to pursue perfection when they enter the currency circle, from value investment, technical analysis, to quantitative trading, arbitrage trading, behavioral finance, etc. , all involved, and all research: not only study long-term opportunities such as monthly and weekly lines, but also learn 5-minute, 1-minute and even handicap trading skills; not only study trend trading, but also study high-selling and low-absorbing band operations; It not only studies the basic supply and demand of the macro economy, but also studies the flow of funds and changes in market sentiment; it studies both corporate governance and industrial policies, as well as K-line trends and technical indicators.
I always thought that only by mastering as many trading skills as possible, gathering the strengths of hundreds of schools of thought, and being proficient in all eighteen kinds of martial arts, can I remain invincible in various market trends, but I didn't expect that reading too much The book brain can become a racetrack for other people's thoughts. Wasting so much time and energy in too broad a field, instead of accumulating the depth it deserves.
This kind of mentality leads to excessive pursuit of perfection in trading operations, which often leads to confusion of thinking and deformation of operations.
After a long wait, the value investment target selected after layer-by-layer analysis, the stock price plummeted and an opportunity appeared, but according to technical analysis, it was believed that it might continue to fall and should wait. As a result, the opportunity was missed in the subsequent V-shaped reversal.
The performance of the stocks held continues to grow, and the expected bullish factors continue to ferment, but they think that the rise is too fast, and it is likely to cause a sharp correction. They should sell high and buy low and do some swing operations to increase returns. As a result, they sell and watch the stock price All the way up without looking back.
In the deterministic upward trend, but because of the poor trend of the 30-minute line and 15-minute line, he decided to do some short-term, and as a result, he lost his position; at the end of the market, he did not continue to hold positions and wait for the turning signal of the trend. , Emotional, policy aspects, etc. to judge, go against the trend to find the top, and the result is hurt by the crazy market.
During the intermission period of the market, you can't wait patiently for the inevitable trend market, but instead do some volatile trading. As a result, when the trend appears, you find yourself on the opposite side.
In this way, I don’t want to miss any opportunities, I don’t want to bear any callbacks, I don’t want to let go of any slight market fluctuations, I always hope to straighten out all the details of the market trends, and grab the maximum profit of the "full score", but the result is confusion, Be obsessed.
After taking such a long detour and paying such a heavy price, we only found out in retrospect: In school examinations for fixed knowledge points, we can pursue perfect results, strive for every inch of land in every question, and strive for full marks;
But in the unpredictable trading or investment, we who are small should pursue the perfection of the process more, pull the trigger decisively when it is time to enter the market, patiently endure the suffering when it is time to hold a position, and close the position without hesitation when it is time to exit the market , Don't care about the profit and loss of a certain transaction, don't force market opportunities that don't belong to you, and execute your plan wholeheartedly.
In the vast market, just take a scoop to drink.
