Polymarket's "GPT Astra 6.1+ will be released before November 15" probability rises to 44%, up 12% in 24 hours

According to monitoring by the PPP prediction market tool, Polymarket's "GPT Astra 6.1+ will be released before November 15" probability has risen to 44%, up 12% in 24 hours; the probability of release before November 30 has risen to 65%, up 4% in 24 hours.

According to the settlement rules, if OpenAI releases to the public a GPT model with a version number of 6.1 or above and with "Astra" included in its name or model identifier before the specified date, the corresponding market will settle as "Yes." The model must actually be open for public use; closed beta tests or placeholder names that only appear on the official website will not count, and settlement will primarily be based on official OpenAI information.

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