AllianceDAO co-founder jokes about Anthropic IPO valuation: There's a 50% chance AI leads to either extreme prosperity or human extinction, so target valuation should be cut in half

Odaily reports that AllianceDAO co-founder QwQiao posted on X, jokingly discussing the valuation logic behind Anthropic's potential IPO. He said that when calculating Anthropic's expected value, investors should also consider the probability of AI bringing about either extreme prosperity or catastrophic consequences.

QwQiao argues that if AI propels humanity into an era of extreme material abundance, money will lose its meaning; if AI leads to human extinction, money will likewise no longer matter. He jokingly put the combined probability of these two scenarios at 50%, with the remaining 50% being the scenario where humans continue to work and money remains important.

Based on this assumption, QwQiao joked that all target valuations for Anthropic should simply be cut in half.