Bitcoin has a 25% chance of hitting $100,000 this year, and only 2% for $150,000

Odaily reports that Bitcoin briefly rose to $81,377 during intraday trading on September 18. Data from prediction market platform Myriad Markets shows that the probability of Bitcoin reaching $84,000 before touching $55,000 is 84%, with related contract trading volume of $242,000.

Data from prediction market platform Polymarket shows that the probabilities of Bitcoin touching $85,000, $90,000, $95,000, and $100,000 before the end of 2026 are 80%, 59%, 39%, and 25%, respectively, with related contract trading volume exceeding $67 million.

Polymarket data shows that the probability of Bitcoin touching $150,000 before the end of 2026 is 2%, while Kalshi gives Bitcoin a 25% probability of breaking through $100,000 before 2027; the probability of Bitcoin falling to $55,000 is 12%. (Bitcoin.com News)