Polymarket odds for "CLARITY Act signed into law in 2026" fall to 5%, down 12% in 24 hours

PPP prediction market tool monitoring shows that on Polymarket, the probability of "CLARITY Act signed into law in 2026" has fallen to 5%, down 12% in 24 hours.

This morning, the U.S. Senate held a procedural vote on cloture for the CLARITY Act, which ultimately failed with 49 votes in favor and 50 against (far below the 60-vote threshold, and not even reaching a simple majority). All Democrats and independents present voted against it, and 4 Republican senators (Susan Collins, Josh Hawley, Jerry Moran, Thom Tillis) also voted against it; Democratic Senator Chris Coons did not vote. It is reported that some senators proposed a motion to reconsider, preserving the possibility of revisiting the matter later.

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