Polymarket's probability of "CLARITY Act signed into law within 2026" drops to 20%, down 11% in 24 hours

PPP Prediction Market Tool monitoring shows that Polymarket's probability of "CLARITY Act signed into law within 2026" has dropped to 20%, down 11% in 24 hours.

As the CLARITY Act vote approaches, Republicans previously unveiled a final compromise proposal, but some Democrats remain dissatisfied with the crypto ethics provisions in the new text and plan to submit a counter-proposal before the vote. In addition, Senate Banking Committee Ranking Member Elizabeth Warren has also publicly opposed the bill, arguing that the new ethics provisions still contain loopholes and cannot effectively restrict Trump from profiting from crypto businesses.

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