Nonfarm Payrolls Release Looms: Polymarket Odds of Fed Holding Rates Steady in September Rise to 60%, Up 9% in 24 Hours
2026-09-04 11:26
Monitoring from PPP Prediction Market Tool shows that ahead of the Nonfarm Payrolls release, the probability of the Fed holding interest rates steady in September has risen to 60% on Polymarket, up 9% in the last 24 hours; while the odds of a 25 basis point hike have dropped to 42%, down 8% in the same period.
The U.S. August Nonfarm Payrolls report is due out tonight at 20:30 Beijing time. The median forecast calls for 56,000 new jobs added, though the prediction range is extremely wide. Following July's negative Nonfarm print and this week's disappointing ADP data, brace for tonight's report to potentially stir up fresh market turmoil.
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