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Polymarket shows probability of Moonshot ranking second among Chinese AI companies by end of August rises to 91%, up 72% in 24 hours

2026-08-28 05:14

Odaily News: On Polymarket, the probability of Moonshot ranking second on Arena.ai by the end of August is currently 91%, up 72% in 24 hours. The probability of Z.ai ranking second on Arena.ai is currently 5%, down 70% in 24 hours.

Checkout Arena.ai's Text Arena Overall leaderboard at 00:00 Beijing time on September 1 (12:00 ET on August 31), turn off Style Control, and sort by Labs.

Only AI companies primarily belonging to China's tech ecosystem are counted, such as Alibaba, Moonshot AI, Baidu, Zhipu AI, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, StepFun, and others.

The company with the second-highest Lab Rank among these Chinese AI companies will be the settlement result for this market. If Lab Rank cannot clearly determine the result, compare the highest-ranked model from each company; in case of a tie, compare Arena Score, and if still tied, decide alphabetically by company name.