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Gained $8 million, 152 Polymarket wallets betting on military and defense markets boast an average win rate of 97.2%

2026-08-20 10:30

Odaily News: Over 150 wallets on Polymarket International may have traded using insider information from the U.S. military, attracting copycat bettors and raising concerns that the market could leak signals exploitable by foreign adversaries. Research by the Anti-Corruption Data Collective (ACDC), a non-profit research organization, shows that 556 wallets it calls "killer whales" typically move quickly to make high-risk, high-reward trades in niche markets where insiders often hold an information advantage. These wallets usually cash out and exit shortly afterward. Among them, 152 wallets primarily bet on military and defense markets, collectively profiting $8 million with an average win rate of 97.2%. A Polymarket spokesperson did not respond to requests for comment. Polymarket stated that the company has strict control measures in place, closely monitors suspicious activity, and has referred dozens of trader wallets to authorities, including in the case of Maduro.