Analysis: U.S. Stocks Could Set a 30-Year Record in 2026, No Widespread Selling Signals Yet
Odaily reported that The Kobeissi Letter stated on X platform that the U.S. stock market has demonstrated unprecedented resilience in 2026, and this year is on track to become the first full year in at least 30 years without a single day of "80%+ NYSE downside volume" on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE).
The so-called "80%+ downside-volume days" refers to days when at least 80% of NYSE trading volume comes from declining stocks, typically viewed as a key signal of broad selling pressure in the market.
Data shows that during the 2008 global financial crisis, the NYSE recorded 49 such trading days; during the 2022 bear market, there were 33; and in 2025, there were 9. Since 1997, this metric has averaged approximately 21 occurrences per year, and no full year has ever fallen below 5.
The Kobeissi Letter noted that as of now, 2026 has seen almost no broad-based selling pressure, indicating that investor sell-off activity remains relatively limited and market structure is showing strong support. While the current U.S. stock market exhibits "unprecedented resilience," this phenomenon also implies that market risks may become more concentrated in potential future liquidity shifts or unexpected events.
