Polymarket probability of "next round of US-Iran peace talks before August 31" drops to 22%, down 10% in 24 hours

Monitoring by PPP Prediction Market Tool shows that on Polymarket, the probability of "next round of US-Iran peace talks before August 31" has dropped to 22%, a 10% decline in 24 hours; the probability for talks before September 30 has fallen to 56%, down 8% in 24 hours.

Iran's Parliamentary National Security and Foreign Policy Commission has approved the outline of a strategic action plan to ensure the security and development of the Strait of Hormuz. Trump stated that he is preparing to increase economic pressure on Iran, saying in a brief phone call: "We are keeping this low-key; we are only in a semi-negotiation state. We are just watching Iran, which faces severe inflation and is short of funds." Trump emphasized that Iran's economy is "in very bad shape" and lacks the money to pay military salaries. Trump also said that the US naval blockade has exacerbated Iran's economic crisis.

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