Serenity: AI Data Center InP Laser Supply Gap May Exceed Memory Chips, Highlighting the Value of Optical Communication Bottlenecks

Odaily News, "White-Haired Stock God" Serenity stated that Lumentum CEO Michael Hurlston has issued a warning that the indium phosphide (InP) laser supply chain for AI data centers is facing a more severe supply gap than memory chips. Even with Lumentum's five InP wafer fabs, product shipments could still fall more than 30% short of customer demand, indicating that AI infrastructure expansion is encountering a critical bottleneck in key optical communication components.

Serenity pointed out that current supply pressure is mainly concentrated in the EML (electro-absorption modulated laser) segment, but the InP laser shortage could continue to spread. He remains bullish on the "bottleneck investment" opportunities in the optical communication laser supply chain, keeping an eye on companies including Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI), Sivers Semiconductors (SIVE), Lumentum (LITE), and Coherent (COHR). As AI data center capital expenditures continue to rise, optical modules, lasers, and other infrastructure segments that were previously undervalued by the market are now undergoing repricing, and the InP laser supply bottleneck could become a key limiting factor in the expansion of AI computing power.