Polymarket launches “What clauses will the US-Iran diplomatic agreement contain before December 31, 2026”

The Odaily Seer Channel monitoring shows that Polymarket has launched a prediction event titled “What clauses will the US-Iran diplomatic agreement contain before December 31, 2026.”

Iran Reconstruction Funding: Whether a non-Iranian-led mechanism for Iran's reconstruction or economic development funding will be established;

Dilution of Iran's Uranium: Whether Iran will be required to dilute or downgrade enriched uranium under its control;

Uranium Enrichment % Cap: Whether a cap on uranium enrichment purity lasting more than one year will be set;

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap: Whether a cap on uranium enrichment at low or below purity levels lasting more than one year will be set;

Enriched Uranium Surrender: Whether Iran will be required to transfer part or all of its enriched uranium to non-Iranian entities;

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium: Whether a comprehensive suspension of uranium enrichment activities lasting more than one year will be implemented.

According to the settlement rules, this event will be based on the official text of the formal written diplomatic document ultimately signed or formally approved by both sides. Currently, US-Iran negotiations are undergoing intensive communication around ceasefire lines, asset unfreezing, and the rules of passage through the Strait of Hormuz. The launch of this series of prediction events provides the financial market with an intuitive and detailed indicator for observing the long-term trajectory of geopolitical risks.

The Odaily Seer Channel continuously monitors the prediction market, seeing changes before they are priced in.