Jiang Zhuo'er: Predicts This BTC Bear Market Will Bottom Between $42,000 and $44,000 from October to December 2026
Odaily Planet Daily News: LaiBTC Mining Pool founder Jiang Zhuo'er posted on the X platform, stating his prediction that the current BTC bear market will bottom at $44,016 on October 31, 2026. Combining the pattern where mNAV leads the coin price bottom by 6 months, he has adjusted the bottoming window to October to December 2026, with a bottom price range of $42,000 to $44,000.
Jiang Zhuo'er pointed out that MSTR's mNAV (ratio of stock price to BTC value per share) has dropped to 0.72, close to the lowest point of 0.7 reached on May 11, 2022, during the previous bull market. Based on recent market sentiment events such as the significant de-pegging of STRC, this can currently be predicted as the lowest area of mNAV for this cycle. However, the lowest mNAV does not coincide with the lowest BTC price. In the previous cycle, when mNAV bottomed out at 0.7 on May 11, 2022, the BTC price was $31,017. BTC subsequently bottomed out at $15,476 on November 21, 2022, at which time mNAV was 1.2, with a 6-month interval between the two events.
