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The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 65.8%

2026-06-24 22:21

According to the CME "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed maintaining the current interest rate in July is 65.8%, while the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate hike is 34.2%. The probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged in September is 33.6%, the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate hike is 49.7%, and the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point rate hike is 16.7%. (Jin Shi)