Bitcoin fell below $63,000, pressured by consecutive ETF outflows and the expiration of $10.6 billion in options
Odaily reported that Bitcoin further declined toward $62,000 on Tuesday, continuing its weakvolatility amid a sixth consecutive week of spot ETF outflows, a hawkish shift in macro interest rate expectations, and pressure from quarter-end options expiration. Ethereum fell below $1,700 on the same day, with both BTC and ETH retreating nearly 20% over the past 30 days.
This week's market pressure primarily stems from two key factors. First, the Federal Reserve maintained interest rates at 3.50% to 3.75% during the June 18 FOMC meeting, but the statement noticeably reduced dovish language, and the dot plot shifted from previously hinting at rate cuts to suggesting rate hikes. Among the 18 officials, 9 now expect at least one rate hike this year, and the probability of a December rate hike has significantly increased compared to a month ago.
Second, geopolitical risks have once again disrupted the market. The previous expectation of a US-Iran ceasefire had pushed Bitcoin above $67,000, but the situation broke down during the signing ceremony on June 19, with Iran withdrawing from negotiations. Due to the crypto market's 24/7 trading, Bitcoin was the first to reflect this shock.
Additionally, Deribit is set to see approximately $10.6 billion in options expire on June 26, further intensifying the quarter-end market观望 sentiment. Analysts believe that current leverage has been largely cleared, and market positioning is defensive. However, the next directional move still depends on Thursday's PCE inflation data and whether spot ETF fund flows can turn positive again.
