Polymarket probability of "Trump agrees to ease Iran oil sanctions before end of June" rises to 87%, up 12% in 24 hours

Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel monitoring shows that the Polymarket probability of "Trump agrees to ease Iran oil sanctions before the end of June" has risen to 87%, up 12% in 24 hours.

The event contract rules are as follows: If the United States agrees to cancel, suspend, waive, or otherwise reduce any sanctions restricting Iran's oil exports before 11:59 PM Eastern Time on June 30, 2026, it will be judged as "Yes"; otherwise, it will be judged as "No." Sanctions restricting Iran's oil exports refer to US measures that prohibit or restrict the production, sale, transportation, purchase, or export of Iranian crude oil, petroleum products, or petrochemical products (including transportation, insurance, and financial transactions related to such exports). The US is deemed to have agreed to cancel, suspend, waive, or reduce such sanctions if the following conditions are met:

1. Trump or another authorized representative of the US government publicly announces that the US has finally agreed to cancel, suspend, waive, or otherwise reduce any sanctions restricting Iranian oil;

2. The cancellation, suspension, waiver, or reduction of any such sanctions has been incorporated into a formally concluded treaty or agreement between the US and Iran, including treaties or agreements reached through signing or other formal means.

Trump posted on social media today: "An agreement with Iran has been reached. Congratulations, everyone! I hereby fully authorize free passage through the Strait of Hormuz, and also authorize the immediate lifting of the US naval blockade against Iran. Ships of the world, set sail. Let the oil flow!"

Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before the price is set.