Analysis: BTC Falls Below Key Option GEX Zone But Implied Volatility Does Not Rise, No Significant Market Panic

Odaily News According to Adam, a macro researcher at Greeks.live, who posted on platform X, Bitcoin has fallen below the dense Gamma Exposure (GEX) zone of options, with subsequent resistance from upper-level positions gradually weakening. Ethereum (ETH) has also broken below its GEX concentration zone near $2,000, weakening its short-term structural support.

Although the BTC price has entered a relatively sensitive area, the Implied Volatility (IV) has not risen significantly. The IV across all tenors remains below 40%, with longer-dated tenors continuing to decline. The three consecutive days of decline have also failed to effectively push up short-term IV, indicating that the market has not yet priced in significant panic.

Currently, the implied probability for options expiring in May is approximately 20%. Tomorrow's monthly settlement is expected to significantly reshape the current option position structure. Overall, the market is still monitoring the effectiveness of key support levels, and the demand from large position holders to hedge against the risk of further breakdowns has not materially increased.