Probability of "US and Iran Ceasefire Before March 15" Event on Polymarket Drops to 25%
2026-03-03 00:45
Odaily News According to data from the Polymarket website, the probability of the event "US and Iran Ceasefire Before March 15" once surged to 64% before falling back to 25%, with trading volume exceeding $800,000.
Previously, Trump stated this morning that the operation against Iran is expected to last 4 to 5 weeks, but it could take longer.

