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Analysis: If tonight's December US CPI is significantly lower than expected, the anticipation of earlier interest rate cuts may drive gold prices higher.

2026-01-13 12:06

Odaily According to comprehensive market analysis, if tonight's December US CPI is significantly lower than expected, the anticipation of earlier interest rate cuts will drive a rapid strengthening in gold prices; if it is slightly lower, gold prices will maintain a bullish pattern and rise with volatility; if it meets expectations, the market will hold steady, with gold consolidating at high levels and awaiting the next signal; however, if inflation exceeds expectations, especially with a rebound in core inflation, rising real interest rates will pressure gold prices to fall in the short term. Yet, if the persistence of "high interest rates + sticky inflation" evolves into concerns about stagflation, gold may instead attract stronger safe-haven buying in the medium term.