Bitwise CIO: Bitcoin returns may see steady growth over the next decade, but explosive growth is unlikely.

According to Odaily Planet Daily, Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan stated that Bitcoin is expected to deliver consistent and stable returns over the next decade, but extreme single-year price surges are unlikely. He pointed out that Bitcoin may be entering a phase of "long-term, slow upward movement" with relatively lower volatility, but will still experience cyclical corrections. Hougan also maintained his overall bullish outlook for Bitcoin in 2026, believing that there is still room for price increases next year.

Hougan believes that Bitcoin's recent pullback has been significantly smaller than historical cycles, primarily due to the continuous and slow inflow of institutional funds, providing support for the price decline. Sebastian Beau, Chief Investment Officer of ReserveOne, stated that whether Bitcoin's four-year cycle has ended remains controversial; the current price has fallen rapidly by about 30% from its high, but has not yet experienced the deep corrections of over 60% seen in previous cycles. Some market participants remain cautious, with trader Peter Brandt predicting that Bitcoin may fall to $60,000 in the third quarter of 2026.

Regarding macroeconomic and policy factors, Hougan believes that the Trump administration's marginal impact on Bitcoin prices is limited, and the regulatory stance on its "commodity attributes" is already quite clear. Future policy changes are unlikely to become a major driver of price increases. (Cointelegraph)