Polymarket: The market is betting that the US government shutdown will last beyond October 15, with the probability rising to 95%.
2025-10-12 09:14
Odaily Planet Daily reported that according to the latest data from Polymarket, in the forecast contracts related to "When will the US government shutdown end?", the probability of the option "October 15 or later" has risen to 95%, while the probability of "ending between October 10 and 14" is only 5%.
The total trading volume of the event has exceeded US$6.2 million, of which the trading volume of "October 15 or later" contracts is approximately US$2.4 million.
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