According to Polymarket's latest data, contracts predicting a September 2025 Fed rate cut have a 91% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut. In contrast, the probability of a 50 basis point or greater rate cut is 7%, the probability of no change is 2%, and the probability of a rate hike is virtually zero. Furthermore, as real capital signals expectations, trading volume for this prediction has exceeded $130 million, currently reaching $134,295,653. Since early August, market confidence in a 25 basis point rate cut has significantly increased, potentially reflecting growing expectations of an economic slowdown and a shift in the Fed's policy stance toward easing.