Odaily News Polymarket predicts that the probability of "the United States establishing a national Bitcoin reserve in 2025" is 51%. The cumulative bet amount for this prediction is currently $581,400, and the deadline is December 31, 2025. The judgment criteria are that the US government holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves, excluding Bitcoin confiscated by the US government. The main source of judgment will be official information from the US government or the Federal Reserve, and will also refer to credible reports with consensus recognition.