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Analysis: US PCE is expected to rise in October, but the anti-inflation trend remains unchanged

2024-11-27 06:14
Odaily News Inflationary pressures have declined significantly since peaking two years ago, but the pace of improvement has slowed in recent months. The PCE index is the Fed's preferred measure of price pressures. The Fed's goal is to keep PCE inflation around 2% over the long term to maintain a healthy economy. Economists expect the PCE price index to rise 0.20% month-on-month and 2.30% year-on-year in October. Core PCE inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 0.30% month-on-month and 2.80% year-on-year. Although economists expect both indicators to rise compared to September, analysts believe that price pressures are still improving. Russell Price, chief economist at Ameriprise Financial, pointed out that the higher reading in October "does not undermine the long-term trend." It is worth noting that due to winter time and the Thanksgiving holiday, the PCE data will be released at 21:30 on Wednesday Beijing time instead of the usual 20:00 on Thursday. (Jinshi)