Odaily News 10x Research noted in its market analysis that Trump's odds on Polymarket have dropped from 68% to around 59%, although he still maintains a narrow lead in all swing states. The RealClearPolitics betting average shows Trump's chance of winning at 58.3%. Experts warn that the race is too close to call because the outcome could come down to just one or two key swing states, where Democrats may still have the upper hand despite polls showing Trump has a better chance.