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Analysis: Investors may not be able to properly assess Fed actions before U.S. presidential election

2024-10-25 11:34
Odaily News Since the Federal Reserve slashed interest rates on September 18, long-term U.S. bond yields, inflation expectations and the "term premium" (the compensation investors get for buying long-term Treasuries rather than rolling over short-term Treasuries) have risen sharply. Given that former President Trump seems to be regaining power in the presidential campaign while touting a series of plans that could undermine the budget, this may reflect investors' concerns about fiscal profligacy and overly dovish monetary policy. Analysts at Bespoke Investment Group pointed out that during the Fed's first 35 rate cuts since 1994, the 10-year Treasury yield saw the third largest increase in history, second only to the same period in November 2001 and June 2008. Ultimately, it is impossible for investors to properly assess the Fed's actions before the presidential election on November 5. (Jinshi)