Odaily News According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in May is 99.7% (98.4% before the data was released), and the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 0.3%. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 86% (79.9% before the data was released), the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 13.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 0.2%.