Polymarket traders estimate a 23% probability that the U.S. government will prevent public access to major Chinese AI models by the end of 2026 through legislation, executive orders, export controls, or other formal actions. Multiple departments within the U.S. Department of Commerce have already banned employees from using Deepseek on work devices due to data security concerns, and Virginia, Texas, and New York have also imposed Deepseek device bans on state employees. (Bitcoin.com News).