美国8月核心PCE物价指数同比涨3%，低于预期

PCE数据未能持续遏制美债抛售。

After the PCE data release, Polymarket's probability of "a 25 basis point Fed rate hike in October" dropped to 32%, down 10% in 1 hour

PPP prediction market tool monitoring shows that after the PCE data release, the probability on Polymarket of "a 25 basis point Fed rate hike in October" dropped to 32%, down 10% in 1 hour; the probability of holding rates unchanged rose to 69%, up 10% in 1 hour.

The U.S. August core PCE price index came in at 3% year-over-year, a slight decline from the previous month and below market expectations, hitting a new low since February, with market expectations at 3.3%. In addition, ADP employment growth exceeded expectations, and U.S. Treasury yields edged higher.

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2026-09-30

After the PCE data release, Polymarket's probability of "a 25 basis point Fed rate hike in October" dropped to 32%, down 10% in 1 hour

After U.S. economic data was released, traders increased their bets on Federal Reserve rate hikes

Odaily: After U.S. economic data was released, U.S. short-term interest rate futures rose as traders increased their bets on Federal Reserve rate hikes. (Jinshi)

2026-09-30

After U.S. economic data was released, traders increased their bets on Federal Reserve rate hikes

US core PCE annual rate falls below expectations, hitting a six-month low

Odaily News: The US August core PCE price index annual rate came in at 3%, a slight decline from the previous month and the lowest since February, versus market expectations of 3.3%. (Jinshi)

2026-09-30