Odaily News According to MSX.COM data, all three major U.S. stock indices continued to climb, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 1.18%, the S&P 500 up 1%, and the Nasdaq Composite up 1.33%.

Nvidia shares rose 1.37%, Apple shares rose 1.44%, Alphabet Class A shares rose 1.56%, Microsoft shares rose 3.21%, Amazon shares rose 1.56%, SpaceX shares rose 6.22%, Meta shares rose 4.1%, Tesla shares rose 6.84%, JPMorgan Chase shares rose 1.45%, Walmart shares rose 2.6%, AMD shares fell 0.11%, Oracle shares rose 4.89%, and Palantir shares rose 7.92%. Dell Technologies Class C shares rose 5.25%, becoming the first tech stock to hit an all-time high after the pullback.

Odaily News Traders now see roughly a coin flip chance that the Federal Reserve raises interest rates this month.

According to CME data, market pricing currently suggests a probability of about 50% for a 25-basis-point rate hike by the Fed. Just yesterday, investors had priced in a 70% chance of a hike. Earlier, several Fed governors delivered remarks aimed at tempering market assumptions that a rate increase was a done deal.

Fed Governor Waller just stated that if August data shows continued improvement in inflation, he would support holding rates steady. A day earlier, New York Fed President Williams also indicated that the case for a rate hike is not compelling enough at this point.

Odaily News: According to MSX.COM data, at the US stock market open, Robinhood (HOOD) jumped 11.55%, temporarily trading at $119.35.

Odaily Planet Daily News According to MSX.COM data, the "Magnificent Seven" U.S. tech stocks collectively rose in early trading, with Amazon up 0.66%, Microsoft up 2.11%, Apple up 0.76%, Google up 1.8%, Meta up 4%, Tesla up 4.02%, and Nvidia up 1.03%.

GoPro surged over 6% after the company announced a $285 million all-cash acquisition agreement with optical module manufacturer Starman Optical. Broadcom fell over 4% as its fourth-quarter revenue forecast missed expectations. AI server manufacturer Hewlett Packard Enterprise dropped over 8% following its Q3 FY2026 earnings release.

Odaily News: According to MSX.COM data, at the US stock market open, the Dow rose 0.67%, the S&P 500 rose 0.46%, the Nasdaq rose 0.45%, and the VIX panic index fell 1.12%. AI concept stocks broadly gained, with Snowflake up 23.94%, ServiceNow up 3.83%, Atlassian up 3.53%, AeroVironment up 3.51%, and SAP up 3.01%.

It is reported that MSX is a leading RWA trading platform that has listed hundreds of RWA tokens, covering popular US stocks and ETF token products such as NVIDIA, GOOGL, MSFT, AMZN, META, TSM, and AMD.

Odaily News Fed Governor Waller stated that the Federal Reserve must establish clear and consistent policy reaction function rules, otherwise markets cannot make predictions. He noted that quantifying the reaction function may have flaws, but from a qualitative perspective, it is crucial. His views on the perfection of the reaction function differ sharply from those of Fed Chairman Warsh.

On the issue of Fed transparency, Waller said there is no benefit in surprising the market. He criticized the "never explain" approach as an outdated model and not a good one, adding that appropriately signaling future policy direction would be better.

Waller also noted strong internal disagreements at the Fed over communication issues, with significant opposition to scenario analysis last year. It remains uncertain what the communication working group can achieve. Regarding discussions in the balance sheet working group, he will oppose any proposals that would push reserves back into scarcity. As for the data working group, he emphasized the need to be wary of trust issues and to use data that people can verify. He added that the inflation working group may be the most helpful to the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). (CLS)

Monitoring from the PPP Prediction Market Tool shows that Polymarket odds of a 25 basis point Fed rate hike in September have fallen to 49%, down 10% in 24 hours.

Earlier released U.S. ADP employment data for August came in below expectations, with only 38,000 jobs added, marking the smallest increase since January.

Market attention has now shifted to the August non-farm payrolls report due out on September 4, which will be the final full employment report before the Fed's September 15-16 policy meeting. Market analysts suggest that strong data could further boost rate hike bets, while overly weak data could trigger recession trading. Only an "orderly cooling" between the two extremes might provide a relatively favorable mix for risk assets.

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Odaily News – In the latest weekly report, Garrett Jin, agent for the “1011 Insider Whale,” stated that despite oil prices rising to around $95 this week, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield breaking above 4.8%, and market expectations for a September Fed rate hike climbing to approximately 70%, Bitcoin has held its key support at $76,600 and has since recovered to above $77,000.

Garrett noted that the $75,000 to $80,000 range has formed a substantial new cost basis, providing firmer support for the market. If Bitcoin closes above $82,500 on the daily chart and subsequently holds around $80,000 during a pullback, it would signal that the market is absorbing selling pressure and gearing up for further strength. Conversely, if the daily close falls below $76,600—accompanied by weakness in at least two of the following metrics: ETF flows, Coinbase premium, and 7-day net realized profit/loss—it would constitute a clearer downside warning.

On the capital front, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net inflows of approximately $3.5 billion in August, but September opened with two-way flows, recording net outflows of around $237 million on Tuesday. Garrett believes that Bitcoin holding key support amid heightened macro rate pressures suggests recent spot demand is not entirely driven by short-squeeze dynamics. He maintains a constructive outlook for Bitcoin's performance toward year-end, though he notes that future trajectory will depend on whether U.S. Treasury yields can halt their sustained upward trend.