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Analyst: Current BTC Short-Term Trading Difficulty High, Suggests Ordinary Investors Focus on Dollar-Cost Averaging

2026-04-12 08:11

Odaily News According to a post by crypto analyst Murphy on platform X, the current difficulty of short-term Bitcoin trading is extremely high. For most investors, adhering to a dollar-cost averaging strategy over the next 6 months may be the better approach, with a win rate close to "100%". Investment and trading should be strictly separated. In the past two months, he has only executed 4 trades, with 3 profitable and 1 loss-making. The most recent trade involved building positions in batches at $71,500 and $73,000, with an average cost of $72,300, using 5x leverage, and was stopped out due to market volatility.

Therefore, avoiding "holding onto losing positions" and wishful thinking is crucial, otherwise it's easy to fall into a risk pattern of small profits and large losses. Decisions should be guided by long-term cycle trends, while short-term trading requires strict discipline. The core of analysis lies in serving the trade, not emotional gambling.