Analysis: January May Become a New Turning Point in Bitcoin's Four-Year Cycle, Historical Patterns Show Structural Divergence

Odaily News The validity of Bitcoin's four-year cycle has once again become a major topic within the ecosystem. Some argue that the four-year cycle should not extend to 2026, as ETFs have already absorbed $57 billion in inflows. However, the opposing view maintains that the four-year cycle remains intact so far, and coincidences in timing are evident from historical patterns. For instance, Bitcoin's most recent local bottom occurred on November 21, 2025, at a price of $80,524, while the low of the previous cycle was $15,460 on November 21, 2022—exactly the same date. Market attention has now shifted to January 2026. A U.S. crypto market structure bill is scheduled for a review hearing on January 15, an event seen as potentially marking another significant turning point in the current Bitcoin cycle. (CoinDesk)