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摩根大通推演不同非农结果下的美股表现:下跌几率更大

2026-08-31 16:28

The Odaily Planet Daily reports that JPMorgan's market intelligence team believes that after the U.S. non-farm payroll data is released this Friday, the S&P 500 is more likely to weaken. Led by Andrew Tyler, the JPMorgan team expects that a "good news is bad news" market environment may emerge after the employment data is released, and believes that an increase of 30,000 to 70,000 jobs would be an appropriate range for the market.

Analysts expect an increase of 55,000 jobs. "Stronger non-farm payroll data could push up bond yields and weigh on stocks. The logic is that more jobs lead to more consumption, and this overall strength could further boost companies' confidence in hiring," the team said in the report. "However, if the data comes in significantly below expectations, such as another decline in employment numbers, it could reignite market concerns about stagflation."