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Polymarket probability of "WTI crude oil rising to $105 by May 2026" reaches 66%, up 12% in 24 hours

2026-05-11 12:43

Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel monitoring shows that the probability of Polymarket's "WTI crude oil rising to $105 by May 2026" has reached 66%, up 12% in 24 hours.

The event contract rules are as follows: If, at any point during May 2026, the "highest price" of any 1-minute candlestick for the active WTI crude oil futures contract month equals or exceeds the listed price, the market will be judged as "Yes"; otherwise, it will be judged as "No". Pricing will be based on Pyth's published prices, without rounding. Previously, the rules for the WTI crude oil March price prediction event contract were: If the official settlement price of the current active month (front month) of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange crude oil futures contract on any trading day equals or exceeds the listed price as of the last trading day of March 2026, the market will be judged as "Yes"; otherwise, it will be judged as "No".

It is reported that Saudi Aramco is making every effort to increase the export volume of its western refinery. Saudi Aramco CEO Nasser has stated that the company's maximum crude oil production capacity of 12 million barrels per day remains intact and is available for use at any time.

Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.