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Polymarket "Bitcoin will drop to $62,500 in July" probability falls to 28%, down 23% in 24 hours

2026-07-30 03:15

PPP Prediction Market Tool monitoring shows that the probability of Polymarket's "Bitcoin will drop to $62,500 in July" has fallen to 28%, a decrease of 23% in 24 hours.

The settlement rule is that if within July (from 00:00 on the first day to 23:59 on the last day, Eastern Time), the final lowest price (Low) of any one-minute candlestick for the BTC/USDT trading pair on the Binance platform touches or falls below the price set in the title, the event will be immediately judged as "Yes"; otherwise, it will be judged as "No."

Settlement only refers to the one-minute candlestick data of the BTC/USDT trading pair on the Binance platform. Other exchanges, other trading pairs, and spot market prices are not included in the scope of settlement.

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