国际货币基金组织：市场已开始押注美联储加息

Odaily Planet Daily News The International Monetary Fund stated that the expected timeline for the return of the Federal Reserve's 2% inflation target has now been pushed back to the end of 2027, compared to a previous forecast of mid-2027. The market has begun to price in rate hikes. Due to persistently rising inflation risks, the Federal Reserve should proceed cautiously on interest rate policy. It has observed some inflationary pass-through effects from US tariff increases, as well as renewed pressure on overall inflation from energy prices. Global oil inventories are expected to fall to 7.5 billion barrels in July, the lowest level in five years; this compares to around 8 billion barrels before the outbreak of the Iran war, which has already suppressed approximately 14 million barrels per day of global oil production. Future oil price trends will depend on whether the Strait of Hormuz can be reopened. (Jin Shi)