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Before the CPI release, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in June is 97.6%

2026-05-12 12:25

Odaily News: According to the CME "FedWatch," the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in June is 97.6%, while the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 2.4%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in July is 95.6%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 4.4%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 0.1%.