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Polymarket "Probability of Trump lifting the Hormuz Strait blockade before May 31" rises to 63%, up 7% in 24 hours

2026-04-28 14:02

Odaily Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that the Polymarket "Trump lifts Hormuz Strait blockade before May 31" probability has risen to 63%, up 7% in 24 hours.

U.S. President Trump posted on social media: Iran has just notified us that they are in a "state of collapse." They want us to "open the Strait of Hormuz" as soon as possible so they can resolve their leadership issues (and I believe they can!).

Meanwhile, the Deputy Commander of the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy stated that Iran has achieved absolute control over the Strait of Hormuz and requires passing vessels to pay transit fees. He emphasized that the territorial sovereignty of the Strait of Hormuz is inviolable, and foreign vessels passing through this waterway must comply with rules set by Iran, including the use of the Persian language for communications. He said, "Without the Supreme Leader's order and the will of the people, Iran will absolutely not allow even a single liter of oil to flow out of the strait." He added that Iranian forces are currently "with their fingers on the trigger," on high alert. He stated that U.S. hegemony in the Persian Gulf has come to an end and reiterated Iran's ability to deal with any form of maritime blockade.

Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.