Prediction Market Data Shows Only 27% Probability Bitcoin Hits $100K Before 2027

Odaily News: Data from prediction market platform Polymarket shows that its Bitcoin 2026 price market has a trading volume of approximately $75.1 million, with the probability of Bitcoin hitting $100,000 before 2027 priced at 27%, and the probability of reaching that level before November 2026 at only 2%.

Polymarket also shows that the probability of Bitcoin hitting $80,000 in October 2026 is 57%, while the probabilities of reaching $77,500 and $75,000 are 33% and 21%, respectively; the probability of hitting $90,000 is 32%.

Prediction market platform Kalshi's October Bitcoin forecast price is $87,000, with a year-end forecast price of $83,554; in its October event, the probability of Bitcoin exceeding $87,500 is 49%, while the probabilities of exceeding $90,000 and $92,500 are 35% and 22%, respectively.

Polymarket data shows that the probability of Bitcoin hitting $100,000 before March 31, 2027, is 48%, rising to 58% before the end of June, and reaching 70% before December 31, 2027. (Bitcoin.com News)