Analyst: Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Have Been Reducing Positions for 7 Consecutive Weeks, Market Still Absorbing Selling Pressure

Odaily News - Crypto analyst Axel Adler posted that Bitcoin long-term holders (LTHs) have reduced their holdings for the 7th consecutive week, but this has not yet hindered BTC price appreciation, as the market is still absorbing the supply released by long-term holders.

Data shows that the long-term holder position change indicator remained positive from February to early August this year, with long-term holders accumulating approximately 1.2 million BTC in May. The indicator turned negative on August 17 and has been in a state of reduction for 7 consecutive weeks. As of September 28, the long-term holder position change showed a decrease of 73,400 BTC, expanding from a decrease of 1,100 BTC a week earlier.

Axel Adler noted that compared to the approximately 1.07 million BTC reduced by long-term holders in November 2025, the current scale of reduction remains relatively limited. If long-term holders' reductions reach hundreds of thousands of BTC again in the future while BTC price stops rising, it may signal that the market's capacity to absorb supply is declining.

Additionally, the long-term holder SOPR indicator has now been above 1 for the second consecutive week, indicating that long-term holders are taking profits. On September 21, the indicator rose to 1.24, the highest level since January this year; as of September 28, LTH SOPR stood at 1.18, meaning that BTC being moved has realized approximately 18% in realized profit relative to its cost basis. Current data shows that long-term holders are gradually exiting with profits as BTC price rises, while new demand is still able to absorb the supply released by the market.