Polymarket's probability of Anthropic IPO before Oct 31, 2026 drops to 3%, down 52% in a single week
PPP prediction market tool monitoring shows that on Polymarket, the probability of Anthropic IPO before Oct 31, 2026 has dropped to 5%, down 50% in a single week; the probability of an IPO before Nov 15, 2026 has dropped to 27%, down 41% in a single week.
According to the resolution rules, if Anthropic officially lists on a public stock exchange and opens for stock trading before 23:59 ET on the specified date, it resolves as Yes; otherwise, it resolves as No. Additionally, if Anthropic is acquired by a publicly listed company, it immediately resolves as No. The primary basis for resolution of this market is documents and announcements published by Anthropic officially and by the stock exchange on which its shares are listed.
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