Polymarket shows OpenAI has a 93% probability of having the best image editing AI by the end of September, up 43% in a single week

PPP prediction market tool monitoring shows that on Polymarket, OpenAI has a 93% probability of having the best image editing AI by the end of September, up 43% in a single week.

This market will be settled based on which company owns the model ranked first on the arena.ai "Image Edit Arena" leaderboard as of 12:00 PM ET on September 30, 2026.

At settlement, the Image Edit Arena Overall leaderboard will be reviewed and filtered to "Models." Models marked as "AutoEval" will not be eligible for settlement, while models marked as "Preliminary" may participate.

The "Rank" will be the primary basis for determination; if multiple models share the same rank, the one displayed higher on the leaderboard takes priority; if still tied, the alphabetical order of the company names listed on the market will decide.

If the arena.ai leaderboard is temporarily inaccessible at that time, the market will remain open until the leaderboard is restored for the first check and settlement; if the leaderboard becomes permanently unavailable, the market will settle as "Other."

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