U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent reportedly urges Japan to raise interest rates, Bitcoin's fixed monetary policy draws attention
Odaily News, according to reports, U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent recently urged Japan to raise interest rates to curb the continued depreciation of the yen. Analysts believe this highlights that traditional monetary policy is susceptible to government and external influences. In contrast, Bitcoin's monetary policy is preset by code, with new coin issuance following a fixed schedule and halving approximately every four years, offering greater predictability. In the short term, Bitcoin still finds it difficult to shake off shocks from traditional financial markets. If Japan's rate hike drives a rapid appreciation of the yen, low-interest yen financing trades accumulated over the long term could be unwound, potentially triggering sell-offs in stocks, bonds, and crypto assets. In August 2024, the Bank of Japan's rate hike strengthened the yen and put pressure on risk assets, including Bitcoin. On the technical front, BTC's 50-day moving average has been rising steadily and is close to crossing above the 200-day moving average, potentially forming a "golden cross." Analysts note that moving averages are lagging indicators, and the historical predictive performance of the golden cross as a standalone indicator has been unstable.
