Polymarket odds of "Fed raising rates by 25 bps in September" climb to 52%, up 20% in a single week
2026-08-31 11:36
Monitoring by PPP Prediction Market Tool shows that the probability of a "25 basis point Fed rate hike in September" on Polymarket has risen to 52%, up 20% over the past week.
The market is currently focused on the U.S. August non-farm payroll report, which is set for release on Friday, September 4. Strong data could further fuel rate hike bets. Fed Chair Warsh previously stated at the Jackson Hole global central bank symposium that a rate hike remains under consideration if the Fed cannot be confident that underlying inflation is "clearly and sufficiently quickly" returning to the 2% target.
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