Amid renewed U.S.-Iran clashes, Polymarket trader xm39 significantly increases position on "Invasion of Iran" prediction shares

Odaily News - Polymarket trader "xm39" has continued to increase positions on geopolitical conflict-related prediction events on Polymarket, placing three separate buys totaling 274,500 shares on the U.S. invading Iran before 2027, filled at probabilities of 14%, 15%, and 16%, with an investment of approximately $41,700.

Currently, xm39 holds a cumulative total of 642,300 Yes shares, with a total cost of approximately $127,100 and an unrealized loss of roughly $27,600.

Additionally, its associated address also added approximately 28,400 WTI short contracts against the market trend, with a trading volume of around $2.401 million. As oil prices continued to rise, the address closed out all 107,400 short contracts at 9:01 AM, with an average closing price of approximately $84.86, recording a realized loss of roughly $131,500. Just about 10 minutes later, its trading direction flipped from short to long. The address subsequently bought approximately 64,700 WTI contracts consecutively and currently holds about $5.531 million in long positions with 20x full margin, with an unrealized profit of around $18,200, a margin return rate of approximately 6.6%, and a liquidation price of about $64.88.