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The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 67.5%

2026-08-14 22:46

Odaily News, according to CME's "Fed Watch": The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged by September is 67.5%, while the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 32.5%. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged by October is 53.3%, with a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike probability of 39.8% and a cumulative 50 basis point rate hike probability of 6.8%. (Jin Shi)